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Red55
447221.1
172723.1
253712.9
Blue74
44918.6
188524.3
284916.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60623040507080901005574

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.1
23.123.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
blue by 1.2
24.30.2
24.024.3
Auto3.8
Teleop17.0
End3.5
Second
4472
#14
21.10.1
21.221.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2
red by 2.5
449
#13
18.60.2
18.418.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End3.6
Third
2537
#36
12.90.1
13.012.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 3.5
2849
#17
16.40.2
16.216.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.9