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Red55
291217.4
112315.5
21869.1
Blue24
365010.2
451414.0
291410.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413801020305060705524

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2912
#12
17.40.4
16.516.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
red by 3.4
14.00.3
14.214.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Second
15.50.4
14.514.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End8.1
red by 4.7
2914
#22
10.80.3
11.010.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Third
2186
#24
9.10.4
8.28.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 1.1
3650
#28
10.20.3
10.410.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5