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Red62
365010.2
68616.9
291217.4
Blue23
14468.9
188524.3
253712.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3945203050606223

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2912
#12
17.40.2
12.913.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
blue by 6.9
24.32.2
17.114.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.0
End3.5
Second
686
#7
16.90.2
13.914.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End4.2
red by 4.0
2537
#36
12.92.2
16.113.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Third
3650
#28
10.20.2
9.79.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
red by 1.3
1446
#30
8.92.2
9.47.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed42%HAB Docking oddsMissed