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Red23
44648.2
29006.8
558720.7
Blue18
63268.9
291410.8
445617.4
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3037102050602318

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.6
13.813.2
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 3.3
17.41.9
14.012.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.3
Second
4464
#19
8.20.3
3.33.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 2.6
2914
#22
10.81.9
9.77.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Third
2900
#16
6.80.6
11.110.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End2.7
blue by 2.2
6326
#35
8.91.9
11.79.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed