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Red36
13899.9
379323.4
111114.5
Blue46
188524.3
777017.2
172723.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35411020305060703646

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.4
11.812.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End7.2
blue by 0.9
24.30.8
14.915.8
Auto3.8
Teleop17.0
End3.5
Second
1111
#18
14.50.4
11.612.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End3.5
blue by 8.5
23.10.8
13.614.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Third
1389
#26
9.90.4
9.49.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End3.5
blue by 7.3
7770
#11
17.20.8
10.010.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed