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Red15
365010.2
19158.7
253712.9
Blue18
21869.1
445617.4
49495.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35280102040501518

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#36
12.92.0
13.911.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 4.5
17.40.9
12.111.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.3
Second
3650
#28
10.22.0
9.97.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
red by 1.1
2186
#24
9.10.6
7.26.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Third
1915
#21
8.72.0
9.37.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End2.6
red by 2.9
4949
#29
5.80.9
7.26.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed