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Red25
77145.5
63268.9
68616.9
Blue55
188524.3
284916.4
112315.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304010205060702555

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#7
16.90.7
13.612.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End4.2
blue by 7.4
24.31.9
15.817.6
Auto3.8
Teleop17.0
End3.5
Second
6326
#35
8.90.7
9.79.0
Auto1.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 7.5
2849
#17
16.41.9
11.213.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Third
7714
#34
5.50.7
5.24.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 9.9
15.51.1
11.212.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsEarned