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Red36
111114.5
445617.4
14468.9
Blue23
63268.9
62137.0
524310.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342801020405060703623

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.1
12.212.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End6.3
red by 6.7
5243
#33
10.70.7
12.211.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.6
Second
1111
#18
14.50.1
12.012.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End3.5
red by 5.6
6326
#35
8.90.7
9.08.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Third
1446
#30
8.90.1
8.38.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.9
End2.8
red by 1.9
6213
#32
7.00.7
5.44.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed