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Red24
13899.9
482114.5
62137.0
Blue37
291217.4
777017.2
21869.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383502060802437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.51.3
17.916.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.9
blue by 2.9
2912
#12
17.40.4
13.013.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Second
1389
#26
9.91.3
11.910.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End3.5
blue by 7.3
7770
#11
17.20.4
14.414.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End3.3
Third
6213
#32
7.01.3
6.24.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End1.4
blue by 2.1
2186
#24
9.10.2
6.26.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed