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Red37
338910.8
558720.7
44918.6
Blue22
13899.9
365010.2
583013.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444020305060703722

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.9
14.713.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 7.1
5830
#23
13.62.9
11.99.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End5.3
Second
449
#13
18.60.9
14.213.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End3.6
red by 8.4
3650
#28
10.22.9
12.69.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Third
3389
#20
10.80.9
13.212.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End3.0
red by 0.9
1389
#26
9.92.9
13.610.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed