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Red15
112315.5
13899.9
77145.5
Blue30
253712.9
482114.5
68939.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3238102050601530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.51.0
14.813.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End8.1
red by 1.0
14.50.5
15.515.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.9
Second
1389
#26
9.91.4
10.49.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End3.5
blue by 3.0
2537
#36
12.90.5
11.310.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Third
7714
#34
5.51.5
4.93.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 3.6
6893
#15
9.20.5
9.18.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed