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Red57
447221.1
291217.4
111114.5
Blue69
379323.4
558720.7
365010.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4744102030406070805769

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#14
21.10.2
17.417.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2
blue by 2.2
23.42.5
19.121.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End7.2
Second
2912
#12
17.40.2
14.014.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.9
End4.0
blue by 3.3
20.72.5
15.618.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End2.9
Third
1111
#18
14.50.2
13.313.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End3.5
red by 4.3
3650
#28
10.22.5
6.79.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsEarned