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Red30
49495.8
583013.6
482114.5
Blue42
172723.1
291410.8
111114.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374810203060703042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.51.2
15.013.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.9
blue by 8.6
23.10.3
21.020.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Second
5830
#23
13.61.3
14.012.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End5.3
blue by 0.9
1111
#18
14.50.3
13.513.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End3.5
Third
4949
#29
5.81.2
6.15.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End1.3
blue by 5.0
2914
#22
10.80.4
11.310.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed