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Red63
558720.7
379323.4
583013.6
Blue78
44918.6
188524.3
284916.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6056203040507080906378

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.1
23.023.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End7.2
blue by 0.9
24.30.6
22.122.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.0
End3.5
Second
20.70.1
20.420.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End2.9
red by 2.1
449
#13
18.60.6
16.417.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End3.6
Third
5830
#23
13.60.2
13.213.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End5.3
blue by 2.8
2849
#17
16.40.6
14.415.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End2.9