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Red83
162924.9
219926.2
298818.3
Blue68
409920.6
450516.6
623922.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7262405080908368

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.2
25.425.6
Auto2.6
Teleop14.6
End9.0
red by 4.0
6239
#25
22.10.2
21.922.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End4.4
Second
24.90.2
24.224.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End6.7
red by 4.3
4099
#15
20.60.2
20.420.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
2988
#19
18.30.2
18.118.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6
red by 1.7
4505
#13
16.60.2
16.416.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End3.3