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Red76
61427.7
83623.3
374817.3
Blue55
394118.2
524314.2
788617.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685130406080907655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#9
27.70.2
26.326.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End6.9
red by 9.5
3941
#17
18.20.1
17.818.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Second
836
#2
23.30.2
22.022.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End8.2
red by 6.2
7886
#27
17.20.1
16.816.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Third
3748
#29
17.30.2
16.016.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
red by 3.1
5243
#12
14.20.1
13.814.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8