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Red50
88820.3
29616.8
253715.0
Blue34
686312.0
463818.7
45418.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384102060801005034

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#7
20.30.9
18.219.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End4.8
red by 1.5
4638
#18
18.70.3
16.215.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Second
2537
#24
15.00.9
13.013.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
red by 3.0
6863
#33
12.00.3
7.37.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Third
2961
#36
6.81.0
5.06.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End1.7
blue by 1.8
4541
#38
8.60.5
15.014.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed