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Red58
68618.9
409920.6
445620.3
Blue55
162924.9
524314.2
533821.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5649203040607080905855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#15
20.60.1
18.919.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 4.3
24.90.7
17.017.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End6.7
Second
20.30.1
17.417.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End7.0
blue by 1.1
21.40.6
19.019.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End10.3
Third
686
#11
18.90.1
16.917.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End5.7
red by 4.7
5243
#12
14.20.6
10.711.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed