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Red58
219926.2
83623.3
284918.0
Blue48
394118.2
463818.7
533821.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64544050607080905848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.2
22.222.0
Auto2.6
Teleop14.6
End9.0
red by 4.8
21.40.2
19.719.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End10.3
Second
836
#2
23.30.3
20.019.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End8.2
red by 4.6
4638
#18
18.70.2
17.317.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Third
2849
#16
18.00.2
18.218.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.7
End3.1
blue by 0.2
3941
#17
18.20.2
14.214.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsMissed