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Red53
623922.1
298818.3
138911.5
Blue55
554912.8
788617.2
409920.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474430405060705355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6239
#25
22.10.5
18.519.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End4.4
red by 1.5
4099
#15
20.60.9
19.820.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Second
2988
#19
18.30.5
17.718.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6
red by 1.2
7886
#27
17.21.4
11.813.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Third
1389
#22
11.50.5
8.69.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End3.1
blue by 1.3
5549
#31
12.80.9
10.511.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed