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Red64
463818.7
88820.3
450516.6
Blue64
409920.6
61427.7
138911.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5959404550556570756464

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#7
20.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End4.8
blue by 7.4
614
#9
27.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End6.9
Second
4638
#18
18.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End2.5
blue by 1.9
4099
#15
20.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
4505
#13
16.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End3.3
red by 5.2
1389
#22
11.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsMissed