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Red53
111115.7
583016.0
788617.2
Blue58
298818.3
379323.8
394118.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4660102030405070805358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7886
#27
17.20.7
13.213.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 6.7
3793
#10
23.80.1
23.623.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End7.3
Second
5830
#20
16.00.4
15.115.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End5.6
blue by 2.3
2988
#19
18.30.1
18.318.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Third
1111
#23
15.70.4
15.515.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.3
End2.7
blue by 2.5
3941
#17
18.20.1
15.015.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed