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Red45
374817.3
658410.4
409920.6
Blue49
686312.0
83623.3
787911.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5446203040506070804549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#15
20.60.4
20.720.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 2.7
836
#2
23.30.3
22.622.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End8.2
Second
3748
#29
17.30.6
18.117.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
red by 5.3
6863
#33
12.00.2
8.48.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Third
6584
#32
10.40.4
12.211.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.9
blue by 0.7
7879
#37
11.10.3
12.212.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsEarned