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Red50
37149.2
450516.6
162924.9
Blue33
658410.4
45418.6
68618.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52492030406070805033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.0
23.023.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End6.7
red by 6.0
686
#11
18.91.5
21.419.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.1
End5.7
Second
4505
#13
16.60.0
18.818.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End3.3
red by 6.2
6584
#32
10.41.5
11.810.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.9
Third
3714
#35
9.20.0
7.87.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.6
End3.1
red by 0.6
4541
#38
8.62.5
12.810.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsMissed