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Red45
138911.5
338912.4
524314.2
Blue31
450516.6
658410.4
632612.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394420305060704531

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5243
#12
14.20.1
13.713.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 2.4
4505
#13
16.60.7
17.116.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Second
3389
#26
12.40.1
12.312.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.5
blue by 0.3
6326
#21
12.70.7
13.412.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Third
1389
#22
11.50.1
11.311.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End3.1
red by 1.0
6584
#32
10.40.7
11.110.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed