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Red87
61427.7
83623.3
374817.3
Blue70
379323.8
445620.3
111115.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6962405080908770

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#9
27.70.5
26.727.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End6.9
red by 3.9
3793
#10
23.80.3
23.423.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End7.3
Second
836
#2
23.30.5
22.422.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End8.2
red by 3.0
20.30.3
19.920.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End7.0
Third
3748
#29
17.30.5
16.316.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
red by 1.6
1111
#23
15.70.3
15.315.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.3
End2.7