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Red59
61427.7
83623.3
374817.3
Blue63
379323.8
445620.3
111115.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7163405080905963

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#9
27.70.2
27.227.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End6.9
red by 3.9
3793
#10
23.80.1
23.723.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End7.3
Second
836
#2
23.30.2
22.822.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End8.2
red by 3.0
20.30.1
20.120.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End7.0
Third
3748
#29
17.30.2
16.816.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
red by 1.6
1111
#23
15.70.1
15.615.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.3
End2.7