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Red76
172724.9
173121.5
524316.2
Blue78
447223.2
62016.8
454117.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65572040801007678

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#17
24.90.2
24.624.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End4.4
red by 1.7
4472
#22
23.20.4
22.122.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Second
21.50.2
21.221.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.7
End4.5
red by 4.2
4541
#28
17.30.4
16.216.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Third
5243
#29
16.20.2
16.016.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End2.4
blue by 0.6
620
#8
16.80.4
15.716.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6