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Red75
83625.5
291415.0
424222.7
Blue49
237724.4
463822.6
189519.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647140801007549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#6
25.50.3
24.524.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.2
End7.8
red by 1.1
2377
#16
24.40.4
24.824.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End4.2
Second
4242
#12
22.70.3
21.722.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Level
22.60.4
23.022.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End3.4
Third
15.00.3
14.114.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End3.4
blue by 4.0
1895
#20
19.00.4
19.419.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End4.4