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Red40
37148.2
447223.2
524316.2
Blue41
290010.9
454117.3
654316.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4634102030405060704041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#22
23.20.2
21.721.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End4.5
red by 5.9
4541
#28
17.30.5
9.29.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Second
5243
#29
16.20.2
13.613.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Level
6543
#31
16.30.4
15.716.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Third
3714
#23
8.20.2
8.48.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 2.7
2900
#21
10.90.4
6.87.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed