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Red55
62016.8
365015.0
291220.7
Blue56
253425.0
172724.9
173121.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396410203050607080905556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2912
#11
20.71.2
17.218.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.4
End5.1
blue by 4.3
25.00.3
21.721.3
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Second
620
#8
16.81.2
10.011.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
blue by 8.0
1727
#17
24.90.3
22.822.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End4.4
Third
3650
#10
15.01.2
10.111.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 6.4
21.50.3
16.516.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed