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Red46
291415.0
654316.3
61224.3
Blue60
447223.2
558722.1
61117.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57552040801004660

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#3
24.30.5
24.624.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End10.1
red by 1.1
4472
#22
23.20.5
21.421.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Second
6543
#31
16.30.5
16.115.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.2
blue by 5.8
5587
#14
22.10.5
20.320.8
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Third
15.00.5
13.012.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End3.4
blue by 2.1
611
#15
17.10.5
10.611.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed