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Red70
173121.5
524316.2
451414.4
Blue62
237724.4
14469.1
482115.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4646354050556065707062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.4
16.216.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.7
End4.5
blue by 2.9
2377
#16
24.40.6
19.420.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End4.2
Second
5243
#29
16.20.4
13.413.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End2.4
red by 1.3
4821
#34
15.00.6
14.415.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End3.2
Third
4514
#30
14.40.4
14.114.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End3.2
red by 5.3
1446
#37
9.10.6
9.39.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed