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Red38
558722.1
242110.6
11618.4
Blue45
291415.0
62016.8
787912.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50381020306070803845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#14
22.10.6
20.820.2
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 5.3
620
#8
16.80.6
12.613.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
Second
116
#19
18.40.6
16.415.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End6.6
red by 3.4
15.00.6
12.513.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End3.4
Third
2421
#39
10.60.6
9.79.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 1.9
7879
#25
12.40.6
10.611.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed