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Red36
14469.1
281910.5
188528.0
Blue46
447223.2
242110.6
189519.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47530204060803646

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.9
27.226.3
Auto3.8
Teleop18.5
End5.7
red by 4.8
4472
#22
23.20.3
22.021.7
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Second
2819
#13
10.50.9
7.26.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End3.7
blue by 8.4
1895
#20
19.00.3
19.218.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End4.4
Third
1446
#37
9.10.9
9.88.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 1.5
2421
#39
10.60.3
9.18.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed