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Red50
454117.3
281910.5
242110.6
Blue70
141823.8
11618.4
365015.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28550102040506070805070

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#28
17.31.6
11.613.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End3.7
blue by 6.5
23.80.3
22.723.0
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End4.6
Second
2421
#39
10.61.6
8.910.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 7.9
116
#19
18.40.3
15.716.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End6.6
Third
2819
#13
10.51.6
6.27.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End3.7
blue by 4.5
3650
#10
15.00.3
14.014.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsEarned