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Red51
173121.5
447223.2
14469.1
Blue58
787912.4
33916.4
253425.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5055204060801005158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#22
23.20.2
21.721.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End4.5
blue by 1.8
25.00.4
24.324.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Second
21.50.2
17.117.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.7
End4.5
red by 5.0
339
#18
16.40.4
16.316.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End3.2
Third
1446
#37
9.10.2
8.99.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 3.4
7879
#25
12.40.4
11.411.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsEarned