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Red48
511512.9
189519.0
621311.6
Blue50
524316.2
463822.6
365015.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445301020306070804850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#20
19.00.2
19.920.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End4.4
blue by 3.7
22.60.0
21.021.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End3.4
Second
5115
#26
12.90.2
11.812.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 3.3
5243
#29
16.20.0
15.115.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Third
6213
#36
11.60.2
9.69.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
blue by 3.4
3650
#10
15.00.0
14.314.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed