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Red50
37148.2
451414.4
463822.6
Blue75
62016.8
572416.0
447223.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455620304050607080905075

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.5
21.221.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End3.4
blue by 0.6
4472
#22
23.20.3
22.222.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Second
4514
#30
14.40.5
14.715.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 2.5
620
#8
16.80.3
13.113.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
Third
3714
#23
8.20.5
7.17.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 7.8
5724
#35
16.00.3
17.417.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed