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Red65
11618.4
291220.7
173121.5
Blue34
654316.3
62315.0
524316.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57533040506070806534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.7
19.019.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.7
End4.5
red by 5.2
6543
#31
16.31.1
16.515.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Second
2912
#11
20.70.7
19.420.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.4
End5.1
red by 4.4
5243
#29
16.21.1
16.615.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Third
116
#19
18.40.7
15.816.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End6.6
red by 3.4
623
#32
15.01.1
16.715.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed