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Red45
77145.9
291220.7
621311.6
Blue39
242110.6
654316.3
63129.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393820253035455055604539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2912
#11
20.70.3
20.420.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.4
End5.1
red by 4.4
6543
#31
16.30.0
16.116.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Second
6213
#36
11.60.3
11.311.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
red by 1.1
2421
#39
10.60.0
10.510.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Third
7714
#27
5.90.3
5.65.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.6
End1.5
blue by 3.1
6312
#38
9.10.0
9.09.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed