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Red45
189519.0
58419.3
14469.1
Blue61
172724.9
62016.8
37148.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39501020306070804561

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#20
19.00.6
19.420.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End4.4
blue by 5.9
1727
#17
24.90.1
24.224.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End4.4
Second
5841
#33
9.30.6
8.89.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End2.5
blue by 7.5
620
#8
16.80.1
15.115.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
Third
1446
#37
9.10.6
8.59.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End2.2
red by 0.9
3714
#23
8.20.1
8.18.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned