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Red68
615322.9
345121.3
633719.0
Blue75
632926.7
346721.1
264822.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667240506080901006875

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.0
22.822.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End4.3
blue by 3.8
6329
#11
26.70.1
26.126.3
Auto3.7
Teleop19.6
End3.3
Second
21.30.0
21.221.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End7.4
blue by 1.0
2648
#16
22.20.1
21.721.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.0
Third
6337
#26
19.00.0
18.918.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End5.5
blue by 2.1
21.10.1
20.620.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.4
End6.3