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Red73
404127.8
252323.7
393017.8
Blue85
17226.2
456425.1
617219.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737460657080857385

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.1
End8.2
red by 1.6
172
#17
26.20.3
25.826.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.3
End8.3
Second
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End5.5
blue by 1.4
4564
#10
25.10.3
24.725.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.9
End7.0
Third
3930
#14
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.5
blue by 2.0
6172
#28
19.80.3
19.419.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0