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Red88
393017.8
490621.6
568733.4
Blue42
360912.0
23721.8
264822.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705130406080901008842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.4
31.132.6
Auto2.9
Teleop23.2
End7.3
red by 11.1
2648
#16
22.20.4
20.720.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.0
Second
4906
#13
21.61.4
19.821.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End4.4
blue by 0.2
237
#12
21.80.5
17.316.8
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End4.2
Third
3930
#14
17.81.4
15.416.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.5
red by 5.8
3609
#29
12.00.4
10.610.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed