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Red44
549411.8
526514.2
23721.8
Blue78
632926.7
66317.9
617219.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4560203040507080904478

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#12
21.80.1
18.618.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End4.2
blue by 4.8
6329
#11
26.71.2
23.124.3
Auto3.7
Teleop19.6
End3.3
Second
5265
#30
14.20.1
13.013.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.6
End2.2
blue by 5.7
6172
#28
19.81.2
17.718.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Third
5494
#20
11.80.1
10.911.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 6.1
663
#15
17.91.2
15.817.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsEarned