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Red64
404127.8
526514.2
264822.2
Blue48
23721.8
563311.5
393017.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6154203040507080901006448

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.4
22.923.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.1
End8.2
red by 5.9
237
#12
21.80.2
18.718.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End4.2
Second
2648
#16
22.20.4
22.022.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.0
red by 4.4
3930
#14
17.80.2
18.117.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
5265
#30
14.20.4
13.113.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.6
End2.2
red by 2.6
5633
#32
11.50.2
14.214.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed