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Red64
456425.1
346721.1
172923.9
Blue78
633719.0
13336.6
615322.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637230405080901001106478

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#10
25.10.3
21.221.5
Auto3.2
Teleop14.9
End7.0
blue by 11.5
133
#2
36.60.7
34.234.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.0
End9.2
Second
1729
#19
23.90.3
23.323.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End6.3
red by 1.0
22.90.7
19.319.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.4
End4.3
Third
21.10.3
15.015.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.4
End6.3
red by 2.1
6337
#26
19.00.7
14.815.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsEarned