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Red54
632926.7
252323.7
633719.0
Blue35
617219.8
360912.0
405518.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65523040607080901005435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#11
26.70.5
24.123.7
Auto3.7
Teleop19.6
End3.3
red by 6.8
6172
#28
19.81.0
19.318.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Second
23.70.5
20.620.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.7
End5.5
red by 5.4
4055
#24
18.31.0
18.417.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Third
6337
#26
19.00.5
16.516.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End5.5
red by 7.0
3609
#29
12.01.0
11.910.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed