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Red61
526514.2
490621.6
352515.0
Blue66
176825.7
264822.2
454612.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516102040801006166

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4906
#13
21.60.4
21.321.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End4.4
blue by 4.1
25.70.6
25.826.3
Auto3.5
Teleop17.3
End5.0
Second
3525
#27
15.00.4
14.214.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 7.2
2648
#16
22.20.6
21.121.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End5.0
Third
5265
#30
14.20.4
12.713.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.6
End2.2
red by 1.6
4546
#22
12.50.6
10.611.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsEarned